Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Strome 44.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Mercer
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Mercer
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
43.0% (788)
+0.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
47.9% (96)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (34)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
39.0% (82)
42.6% (486)
Away
45.8% (83)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
45.5%
41.0%
P2
44.0%
47.8%
P3
36.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
36.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |