Dawson Mercer vs Ryan Strome

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Strome holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.8% vs Strome 45.2% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone Mercer 51.2%
Defensive zone Strome 56.2%
Neutral zone Mercer 51.0%
Result Ryan Strome favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mercer Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
44.2% (267)
-5.4%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
37.0% (27)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Strome has a +5.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
34.7% (144)
42.0% (157)
Away
43.2% (146)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
32.7%
40.0%
P2
42.7%
46.4%
P3
42.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
48.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.0%
Strome
42.0%
44.0%
43.6%