Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Strome 42.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Mercer
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
41.2% (1,040)
-0.2%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
43.0% (151)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
51.4% (35)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
45.2% (126)
40.1% (581)
Away
35.1% (111)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
34.5%
41.4%
P2
43.4%
42.9%
P3
45.8%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |