Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Couturier 54.5% (-20.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 67.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Mercer
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mercer
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Mercer
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
57.4% (303)
-22.0%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
65.5% (55)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
40.0% (70)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couturier
Home
39.9% (283)
54.3% (219)
Away
31.3% (307)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Mercer
Couturier
P1
37.7%
53.2%
P2
32.1%
54.8%
P3
37.7%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |