Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Mercer
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Mercer
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
53.8% (1,003)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.4% (202)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
42.7% (89)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couturier
Home
41.7% (120)
54.4% (680)
Away
47.6% (145)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Mercer
Couturier
P1
44.6%
56.3%
P2
45.4%
51.8%
P3
45.2%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |