Dawson Mercer vs Sean Couturier

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Couturier holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 43.3% vs Couturier 55.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Couturier 75.9%
Defensive zone Couturier 72.3%
Neutral zone Couturier 70.0%
Result Sean Couturier favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Mercer Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Mercer Couturier
Last 9: Mercer 5-4 Couturier

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Mercer Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
2
Mercer Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
1
Mercer Couturier
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
55.1% (1,008)
-14.1%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
64.1% (142)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
53.3% (45)
-16.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +28.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couturier
Home
45.2% (126)
58.1% (609)
Away
35.1% (111)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Mercer
Couturier
P1
34.5%
55.3%
P2
43.4%
55.8%
P3
45.8%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
37.5%
40.5%
Couturier
46.0%
47.5%
56.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 9, 2025 3 15:14 Neutral Dawson Mercer
Mar 9, 2025 3 06:12 Defensive Dawson Mercer
Mar 9, 2025 3 00:33 Offensive Sean Couturier
Mar 9, 2025 1 18:00 Defensive Dawson Mercer
Mar 9, 2025 1 17:52 Defensive Dawson Mercer
Mar 9, 2025 1 01:01 Defensive Sean Couturier
Jan 29, 2025 3 09:12 Neutral Dawson Mercer
Jan 18, 2025 2 17:30 Neutral Sean Couturier
Jan 18, 2025 2 10:01 Defensive Sean Couturier