Dawson Mercer vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 69.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 60.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Mercer
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Mercer
Couturier
Last 10: Mercer 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mercer
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
Mercer
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mercer
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
52.5% (11,063)
-13.4%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
59.7% (1,280)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
48.5% (1,816)
-8.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couturier
Home
40.0% (755)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
38.5% (792)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Mercer
Couturier
P1
38.2%
52.5%
P2
39.2%
52.6%
P3
41.1%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |