Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Mercer
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
51.5% (641)
-16.1%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
62.8% (129)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Mercer
Monahan
Home
39.9% (283)
53.9% (362)
Away
31.3% (307)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Mercer
Monahan
P1
37.7%
48.0%
P2
32.1%
57.0%
P3
37.7%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |