Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 68.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 69.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Mercer
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Mercer
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Mercer
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
57.1% (871)
-13.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.1% (262)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
44.6% (139)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Mercer
Monahan
Home
41.7% (120)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.6% (145)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Mercer
Monahan
P1
44.6%
53.9%
P2
45.4%
55.3%
P3
45.2%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |