Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Monahan 53.9% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 53.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Mercer
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
54.5% (231)
-11.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.2% (67)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
52.2% (23)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Mercer
Monahan
Home
39.0% (82)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.8% (83)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Mercer
Monahan
P1
45.5%
52.5%
P2
44.0%
50.9%
P3
36.7%
60.8%
Final 5 min
36.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%