Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-12.1%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Mercer
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
52.4% (853)
-11.4%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
58.6% (174)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
46.5% (144)
-10.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Mercer
Monahan
Home
45.2% (126)
53.4% (624)
Away
35.1% (111)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Mercer
Monahan
P1
34.5%
53.7%
P2
43.4%
52.4%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%