Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Crosby 52.3% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 82.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 83.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 84.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Mercer
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Mercer
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Mercer
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Mercer
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
50.8% (1,169)
-15.4%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
60.2% (261)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
45.0% (20)
-45.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Mercer
Crosby
Home
39.9% (283)
53.2% (726)
Away
31.3% (307)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Mercer
Crosby
P1
37.7%
51.3%
P2
32.1%
52.1%
P3
37.7%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |