Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Crosby 57.8% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 83.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 79.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Mercer
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Mercer
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
57.8% (1,437)
-14.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.9% (381)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
50.0% (54)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Mercer
Crosby
Home
41.7% (120)
59.2% (985)
Away
47.6% (145)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Mercer
Crosby
P1
44.6%
57.3%
P2
45.4%
59.5%
P3
45.2%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |