Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 67.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 80.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 72.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Mercer
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Mercer
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Mercer
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
52.5% (1,443)
-9.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.7% (369)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
55.9% (34)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Mercer
Crosby
Home
39.0% (82)
53.0% (931)
Away
45.8% (83)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Mercer
Crosby
P1
45.5%
50.3%
P2
44.0%
55.4%
P3
36.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |