Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-16.7%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Mercer
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
56.7% (254)
-17.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
52.6% (76)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
100.0% (2)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
34.1% (126)
51.9% (158)
Away
43.8% (144)
59.8% (174)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
31.3%
56.5%
P2
44.0%
55.0%
P3
43.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
35.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%