Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-11.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Mercer
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
55.3% (628)
-12.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.1% (216)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.2% (87)
-11.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
39.0% (82)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.8% (83)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
45.5%
50.7%
P2
44.0%
53.8%
P3
36.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
36.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%