Dawson Mercer vs Steven Stamkos

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.8% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-16.7%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 65.1%
Defensive zone Stamkos 54.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 53.8%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Mercer Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
56.1% (342)
-17.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
53.3% (92)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +18.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
34.7% (144)
53.4% (208)
Away
43.2% (146)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
32.7%
55.6%
P2
42.7%
52.8%
P3
42.2%
59.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
56.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.0%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
55.7%