Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Mercer
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
49.3% (670)
-8.3%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
53.7% (121)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.3% (3)
+3.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
45.2% (126)
54.0% (400)
Away
35.1% (111)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
34.5%
48.6%
P2
43.4%
54.5%
P3
45.8%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%