Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 56.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Mercer
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Mercer
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
49.3% (789)
-13.9%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
56.9% (181)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
54.1% (98)
-54.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
39.9% (283)
52.0% (512)
Away
31.3% (307)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
37.7%
42.1%
P2
32.1%
56.4%
P3
37.7%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |