Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Ryan 55.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 73.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Matthews
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Matthews
Ryan
Last 7: Matthews 1-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Matthews
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Matthews
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
56.5% (816)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
55.2% (105)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
63.2% (19)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Matthews
Ryan
Home
59.8% (351)
56.7% (466)
Away
49.0% (337)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Matthews
Ryan
P1
58.0%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
58.1%
P3
55.4%
55.8%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |