Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Luostarinen 41.1% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 74.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Ryan
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Luostarinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
41.1% (708)
+19.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (10)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
29.8% (84)
+13.4%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Ryan
Luostarinen
Home
56.7% (254)
38.8% (402)
Away
55.0% (258)
41.3% (400)
By Period
Ryan
Luostarinen
P1
56.9%
40.7%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
59.2%
36.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |