Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Luostarinen 52.3% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 79.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Ryan
Luostarinen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
53.6% (153)
+7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
45.5% (11)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
60.0% (15)
-13.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Luostarinen is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Ryan
Luostarinen
Home
56.7% (201)
53.3% (92)
Away
54.8% (208)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Ryan
Luostarinen
P1
56.7%
52.2%
P2
56.8%
49.1%
P3
53.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%