Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Luostarinen 43.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Ryan
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Luostarinen
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
1
Ryan
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Luostarinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
41.4% (365)
+9.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
46.7% (15)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
44.7% (38)
+0.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Ryan
Luostarinen
Home
53.7% (214)
41.5% (207)
Away
46.4% (220)
42.2% (211)
By Period
Ryan
Luostarinen
P1
45.0%
38.2%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
54.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |