Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 82.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Ryan
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ryan
Luostarinen
Last 7: Ryan 5-2 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Luostarinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Luostarinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.7% (1,748)
+11.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
41.7% (60)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
38.0% (205)
+9.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (678).
Home / Away
Ryan
Luostarinen
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.7% (1,006)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
43.1% (1,007)
By Period
Ryan
Luostarinen
P1
55.1%
43.4%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
56.0%
43.0%
OT
58.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |