Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Luostarinen 48.0% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 59.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Ryan
Luostarinen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
46.6% (58)
+14.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
36.4% (11)
+15.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Luostarinen is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Ryan
Luostarinen
Home
64.2% (137)
46.2% (39)
Away
55.8% (113)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Ryan
Luostarinen
P1
58.9%
48.4%
P2
62.8%
41.7%
P3
59.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%