Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Hayes 50.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Ryan
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Ryan
Hayes
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
3
Ryan
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Ryan
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
51.3% (672)
+2.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
50.0% (78)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
40.8% (76)
+5.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hayes
Home
52.5% (341)
52.0% (404)
Away
52.2% (391)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Ryan
Hayes
P1
56.0%
50.7%
P2
48.1%
50.2%
P3
52.8%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |