Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 85.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Ryan
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Ryan
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Ryan
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Ryan
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
48.5% (557)
+2.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
53.3% (107)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
58.3% (12)
-13.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hayes
Home
53.7% (214)
50.8% (313)
Away
46.4% (220)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Ryan
Hayes
P1
45.0%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
47.7%
P3
54.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |