Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Ryan
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
51.6% (386)
+9.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.2% (47)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
60.0% (20)
-8.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hayes
Home
64.2% (137)
50.5% (200)
Away
55.8% (113)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Ryan
Hayes
P1
58.9%
58.8%
P2
62.8%
49.3%
P3
59.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%