Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+13.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Ryan
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
42.7% (478)
+17.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
42.9% (98)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.2% (31)
-2.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hayes
Home
56.7% (254)
43.5% (232)
Away
55.0% (258)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Ryan
Hayes
P1
56.9%
40.1%
P2
51.7%
44.8%
P3
59.2%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%