Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Ryan
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
49.2% (1,266)
+12.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.9% (193)
+45.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
49.1% (55)
+2.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Ryan
MacKinnon
Home
64.2% (137)
50.9% (740)
Away
55.8% (113)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Ryan
MacKinnon
P1
58.9%
50.9%
P2
62.8%
51.8%
P3
59.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |