Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Roy 48.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 61.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Ryan
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Ryan
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
49.5% (746)
+10.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.7% (75)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
42.7% (110)
+0.5%
On power play, Roy has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Ryan
Roy
Home
56.7% (254)
47.7% (491)
Away
55.0% (258)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Ryan
Roy
P1
56.9%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
44.6%
P3
59.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |