Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Roy 47.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Ryan
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
47.5% (617)
+13.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
39.6% (53)
+60.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
46.4% (97)
-0.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Ryan
Roy
Home
56.7% (201)
47.2% (398)
Away
54.8% (208)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Ryan
Roy
P1
56.7%
48.6%
P2
56.8%
48.8%
P3
53.7%
43.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |