Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 58.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Ryan
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
48.3% (633)
+2.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
52.1% (48)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
43.7% (87)
+1.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Ryan
Roy
Home
53.7% (214)
50.8% (376)
Away
46.4% (220)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Ryan
Roy
P1
45.0%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
43.5%
P3
54.6%
46.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |