Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 75.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Ryan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
48.0% (296)
+12.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.0% (59)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.0% (22)
-6.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zacha
Home
56.7% (254)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.0% (258)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Ryan
Zacha
P1
56.9%
47.9%
P2
51.7%
48.3%
P3
59.2%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |