Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Ryan
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
54.1% (534)
+7.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.0% (109)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
44.8% (96)
+6.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zacha
Home
64.2% (137)
53.4% (406)
Away
55.8% (113)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Ryan
Zacha
P1
58.9%
56.8%
P2
62.8%
53.6%
P3
59.3%
49.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%