Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Zacha 46.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 63.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Ryan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
45.3% (247)
+5.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.1% (31)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
22.2% (18)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zacha
Home
53.7% (214)
39.7% (131)
Away
46.4% (220)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Ryan
Zacha
P1
45.0%
42.9%
P2
50.0%
46.4%
P3
54.6%
42.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |