Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Johnson 53.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Ryan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
61.9% (42)
-1.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.6% (9)
-27.0%
On power play, Johnson has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johnson
Home
56.7% (254)
52.0% (25)
Away
55.0% (258)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Ryan
Johnson
P1
56.9%
72.0%
P2
51.7%
66.7%
P3
59.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%