Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Johnson 50.7% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Ryan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
47.4% (78)
+3.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.6% (33)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
100.0% (2)
-54.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johnson
Home
53.7% (214)
50.9% (57)
Away
46.4% (220)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Ryan
Johnson
P1
45.0%
44.1%
P2
50.0%
59.4%
P3
54.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%