Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Johnson 51.4% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Ryan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
63.6% (11)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Johnson is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johnson
Home
64.2% (137)
62.5% (8)
Away
55.8% (113)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Ryan
Johnson
P2
62.8%
85.7%
P3
59.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%