Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Johnson 45.7% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Ryan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
44.6% (285)
+16.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.7% (60)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
16.7% (6)
+29.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Ryan
Johnson
Home
56.7% (201)
50.8% (179)
Away
54.8% (208)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Ryan
Johnson
P1
56.7%
41.3%
P2
56.8%
41.8%
P3
53.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%