Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Trocheck 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 67.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Ryan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ryan
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Ryan
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
54.3% (955)
+5.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
64.6% (96)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
51.0% (194)
-7.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Ryan
Trocheck
Home
56.7% (254)
58.3% (604)
Away
55.0% (258)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Ryan
Trocheck
P1
56.9%
53.9%
P2
51.7%
55.7%
P3
59.2%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |