Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 92.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 66.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Ryan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
57.6% (1,061)
+3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
65.1% (338)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
49.5% (101)
-3.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Ryan
Trocheck
Home
56.7% (201)
61.8% (735)
Away
54.8% (208)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Ryan
Trocheck
P1
56.7%
57.7%
P2
56.8%
57.9%
P3
53.7%
60.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |