Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Trocheck 58.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 61.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Ryan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Ryan
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
59.6% (1,032)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.1% (253)
+37.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
55.4% (249)
-3.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Trocheck is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Ryan
Trocheck
Home
64.2% (137)
61.7% (786)
Away
55.8% (113)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Ryan
Trocheck
P1
58.9%
61.7%
P2
62.8%
58.8%
P3
59.3%
57.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |