Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 66.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Ryan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Trocheck
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Ryan
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Ryan
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
55.0% (956)
-4.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
59.8% (266)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
56.3% (64)
-11.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Ryan
Trocheck
Home
53.7% (214)
57.7% (673)
Away
46.4% (220)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Ryan
Trocheck
P1
45.0%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
54.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |