Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Hughes 38.0% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 71.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Toninato
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
34.5% (342)
+9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
25.0% (4)
+4.4%
On even strength, Toninato has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
45.6% (114)
32.6% (187)
Away
38.5% (91)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
37.3%
33.9%
P2
41.7%
34.2%
P3
48.6%
36.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%