Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 50.5% vs Hughes 39.2% (+22.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.8%
Defensive zone
Toninato 61.2%
Neutral zone
Toninato 50.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Toninato
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (5)
37.9% (623)
+22.1%
On even strength, Toninato has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
60.0% (5)
36.6% (314)
Away
0.0% (0)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P2
50.0%
35.6%
P3
66.7%
41.8%
Final 5 min
100.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
60.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%