Dominic Toninato vs Jack Hughes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Hughes 36.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 62.2%
Defensive zone
Toninato 94.2%
Neutral zone
Toninato 88.1%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Toninato
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Toninato
Hughes
Last 5: Toninato 5-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
0
Toninato
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
36.0% (2,887)
+9.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
38.8% (224)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
31.0% (42)
-4.3%
On even strength, Toninato has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
47.0% (413)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
42.9% (431)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
40.8%
36.9%
P2
46.3%
33.6%
P3
47.5%
38.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |