Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs Hughes 40.3% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.0%
Defensive zone
Toninato 73.8%
Neutral zone
Toninato 56.9%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Toninato
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
35.6% (281)
+12.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
50.0% (36)
+50.0%
On power play, Toninato has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
47.3% (55)
38.4% (198)
Away
48.1% (54)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
55.9%
44.3%
P2
51.6%
34.2%
P3
38.6%
34.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%