Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 50.0% vs Hughes 37.9% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Toninato
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (17)
34.9% (444)
+18.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
On power play, Hughes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
0.0% (1)
37.4% (235)
Away
52.9% (17)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
25.0%
37.1%
P2
40.0%
33.7%
P3
66.7%
34.8%
Final 5 min
100.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%