Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Cozens 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Coyle
Cozens
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Cozens
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Coyle
Cozens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
44.4% (187)
+3.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
85.7% (14)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
100.0% (1)
-53.1%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
52.5% (238)
40.2% (87)
Away
44.6% (269)
53.0% (115)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.7%
48.4%
P2
49.5%
46.2%
P3
46.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |